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1st Round Mock Draft

UserPost

7:14 am
February 12, 2009


junkyardjake

Moderator

posts 27

Hey guys, here's a hypothetical 1st round I did a couple weeks ago. Feel free to tear it apart (Especially the Matt Holliday at #6 pick, I've since decided that may be a bad idea, given his new location)

No. 1 David Wright, NY Mets, 3B
David Wright is certainly not the most popular #1 choice, but the reason we think he is worthy of such lofty status is based on his five category production, his durability and consistency, his surrounding cast and the fact that at just 26, he is entering his prime. These of course should be the primary considerations when picking any player at No. 1, and it seems that Wright conforms to the formula as well as any player this year.


No. 2 Hanley Ramirez, Florida Marlins, SS
Hanley Ramirez will go #1 in many drafts, and for damn good reason, as he represents that very rare middle infielder that offers 30 HR/50 SB potential. Ramirez is a little light in the RBI department, with 67 last season, and his stolen bases dropped from 51 in 2007 to 35 in 2008, but that's about as critical as you can get about the Marlins offensive sparkplug..


No. 3 Jose Reyes, NY Mets, SS
Jose Reyes does not provide the power numbers of Hanley Ramirez, and a fair projection for him is probably around 15, or approximately half of what we might see out of Ramirez. He does represent a more consistent stolen base threat however, and has swiped at least 56 bases over the past four years. So long as he can maintain an average in the .285 to .300 area, he should continue to be an elite fantasy player.


No. 4 Alex Rodriguez, NY Yankees, 3B
You obviously have to respect Alex Rodriguez's illustrious career of producing silly numbers since about 1996, but the only caution here is that he showed some signs of slowing down last year as he dropped from 54 HRs and 156 RBI in 2007, to 35 HRs and 103 RBIs last year.


No. 5 Albert Pujols, St. Louis Cardinals, 1B
So much for the elbow injury that was supposed to slow him down last year, as Pujols proceeded to belt 37 HRs to go along with his amazing .357 average. You can't expect more than 5-8 SBs out of Pujols, but assuming that there are no adverse effects from his October elbow surgery, he is a clear top-5 pick in any format.


No. 6 Matt Holliday, Oakland A's, OF
This draft spot for Holliday is based on the assumption that he can deliver at a pace commensurate with his production levels over the past three seasons with the Rockies. Of course, Holliday is with the A's now, so he has some risk associated with him, but if you believe that 30 HRs and 25 SBs with a .320 average is still a strong possibility, this is where he should be drafted.


No. 7 Ryan Howard, Philadelphia Phillies, 1B
It would be nice to see Howard get his average back near the .300 mark, but there is no denying his ability to help carry your team in the home run and RBI categories. He should once again provide about 50 home runs, with 140-150 RBI in the Phillies' potent lineup, and assuming a modest increase in batting average to about .275, he is a great No. 7 pick.


No. 8 Grady Sizemore, Cleveland Indians, OF
Although Grady Sizemore's average dropped 9 points to .268 in 2008, he was able to boost his HRs from 24 to 33, and his stolen bases (38), as well as RBI (90) were career highs. Sizemore's unique fantasy value is based on his power/speed combination, and at 26, he should be entering the peak years of his career.


No. 9 Miguel Cabrera, Detroit Tigers, 1B
In his first season with the Tigers Miguel Cabrera started off slow in 2008, hitting only 10 HRs through June. He managed to turn it up a few notches in the last three months of the season however, hitting .303 with 26 HRs and 79 RBI over this span, and should make a very safe first-round pick in 2009 by virtue of his high power, RBI production and batting average potential.


No. 10 Ryan Braun, Milwaukee Brewers, 3B
We kind of suspected that Ryan Braun's rookie season was a little too good to be true, after all, his 34 HRs and 97 RBI over 113 games in 2007 suggested that he could hit about 48 HRs and 139 RBIs over a full 162 game season. He ended up with 37 HRs and 106 RBI over 151 games in 2008, so Braun is no mirage. Enhancing his fantasy appeal, Braun also seems to have consistent 15 stolen base potential, so there should be no reservations about snagging him in the 1st round.


No. 11 Josh Hamilton, Texas Rangers, OF
Well, we finally got to see what Josh Hamilton could over a full season in the majors, and the results were impressive. Of course, it took Hamilton long enough to make it out of the minors due to injuries and general indiscretions, and the risk here is that Hamilton is just a shooting star. However, it's hard to believe that any player can hit 32 HRs with 130 RBIs by accident, and remember Hamilton was the #1 overall pick in 1999, so many scouts were expecting Hamilton to already have a couple seasons like 2008 at this point in his career.


No. 12 Chase Utley, Philadelphia Phillies, 2B
Chase Utley can be such an asset to your fantasy team, that he deserves 1st round consideration in any draft. When healthy, he can generally be counted on for 25-30 HRs, around 100 RBIs, a .300 average, and even 10 stolen bases. Of course, we need to be a little cautious about Utley in 2009, as he recovers from offseason hip surgery. The latest prognosis still calls for the standout second baseman to be ready on Opening Day.

At last count, it is estimated that the 2009 NY Yankees team salary will significantly exceed the GDP of at least 9 separate countries.

2:39 pm
February 12, 2009


steelers0087

Moderator

posts 283

I like it except where Holliday and Pujols were drafted. Pujols should be higher and Holliday much later.

Steelers0087 | Fantasy Baseball Xtreme Moderator

12:05 am
February 13, 2009


frankiephilly

Philly

Rookie

posts 142

Wow great! Thanks guys! Puljos and Howard are going to be steals this year! I can't wait to draft early now because Im afraid this wont last in a month

12:18 am
February 13, 2009


smitty

Admin

posts 172

Post edited 11:19 pm – February 12, 2009 by smitty


Quality mock! I also agree that Puljos and Howard could be steals this year. In leagues where I get a high first, I will likely explore moving down into the late first and moving my second up into that same area. JunkyardJake knows me well in all of our expert leagues… I sure do like to have two first rounders, don't I Junkyardjake?

Smitty | President | FantasyBaseballXtreme.com

3:38 am
February 13, 2009


junkyardjake

Moderator

posts 27

smitty said:

Post edited 12:19 am – February 13, 2009 by smitty


Quality mock! I also agree that Puljos and Howard could be steals this year. In leagues where I get a high first, I will likely explore moving down into the late first and moving my second up into that same area. JunkyardJake knows me well in all of our expert leagues… I sure do like to have two first rounders, don't I Junkyardjake?


haha, yes you do.  Just a tip, if any of you ever draft with Smitty, he will bombard you with offers until he breaks you down with an incredible offer you can't possibly refuse.

At last count, it is estimated that the 2009 NY Yankees team salary will significantly exceed the GDP of at least 9 separate countries.

8:26 am
February 13, 2009


steelers0087

Moderator

posts 283

Who usually finishes with the better record in your leagues, Smitty or Junkyardjake? Haha

Steelers0087 | Fantasy Baseball Xtreme Moderator

8:00 pm
February 13, 2009


frankiephilly

Philly

Rookie

posts 142

steelers0087 said:

Who usually finishes with the better record in your leagues, Smitty or Junkyardjake? Haha


My money is on Junkyard. Smitty is a football guy i think.

8:11 pm
February 13, 2009


smitty

Admin

posts 172

This is true. JunkyardJake could CRUSH me in baseball. I'm a football guy, this is no lie, but I'm over here on the Baseball Site just mingling like Rocky Balboa in his nice little restaurant. I'm here to tell war stories about my Michael Turner predictions ;) That's all I'm good for, but I'm having a blast mixing it up with you fine folks. 

JunkyardJake, Steelers0087 and Zach. Take advice from these guys over me when it comes to baseball!

Smitty | President | FantasyBaseballXtreme.com

10:33 pm
February 13, 2009


steelers0087

Moderator

posts 283

smitty said:

This is true. JunkyardJake could CRUSH me in baseball. I'm a football guy, this is no lie, but I'm over here on the Baseball Site just mingling like Rocky Balboa in his nice little restaurant. I'm here to tell war stories about my Michael Turner predictions ;) That's all I'm good for, but I'm having a blast mixing it up with you fine folks. 


JunkyardJake, Steelers0087 and Zach. Take advice from these guys over me when it comes to baseball!



Dont worry smitty, we have you covered!

Steelers0087 | Fantasy Baseball Xtreme Moderator

1:54 pm
February 14, 2009


junkyardjake

Moderator

posts 27

smitty said:

This is true. JunkyardJake could CRUSH me in baseball.


lol, yeah maybe through April.  And then you would use your Jedi trading techniques to somehow land Ryan Braun and Johan Santana for 8 crappy players and a bag of Doritos.  :)

At last count, it is estimated that the 2009 NY Yankees team salary will significantly exceed the GDP of at least 9 separate countries.

6:23 pm
February 14, 2009


steelers0087

Moderator

posts 283

junkyardjake said:

smitty said:


This is true. JunkyardJake could CRUSH me in baseball.




lol, yeah maybe through April.  And then you would use your Jedi trading techniques to somehow land Ryan Braun and Johan Santana for 8 crappy players and a bag of Doritos.  :)


Thats annoying when other owners can do that, and your not able to.

Steelers0087 | Fantasy Baseball Xtreme Moderator

2:19 am
February 15, 2009


frankiephilly

Philly

Rookie

posts 142

Yea one guy in my league last year ended up with three first round players using a combo of like 5 or so late round guys. One robbery at a time he got that team. I guess its part of the game. I sure would like to learn how to trade like some do.

2:23 am
February 15, 2009


jakedogg187

Rookie

posts 72

Yea, someone has to show me how to turn Doritos into Santana. That's magic right there!  Can Smitty really do that? :)

7:29 pm
February 15, 2009


Zach

Moderator

posts 22

Post edited 6:29 pm – February 15, 2009 by Zach


jakedogg187 said:

Yea, someone has to show me how to turn Doritos into Santana. That's magic right there!  Can Smitty really do that? :)


Yes, he can take any bag of chips and turn it into first round talent :-P

Seriously, though, Smitty does do a lot of 2-for-1 type trades and 3-for-1s, then he finds sleepers to replace some of those spots he lost and then he ends up with a big-time stud and guys that were almost as good as the ones he gave away. His line-ups are like line-ups on roids.

I haven't seen him do it in baseball though and to my knowledge he is mainly a football guru. As for baseball, my money is on JunkyardJake and Steelers0087 :) Smitty, dont read this! :)

Zach | Writer | FanatsyBaseballXtreme.com

7:58 pm
February 15, 2009


steelers0087

Moderator

posts 283

Thanks Zach. Dam my smileys dont work.

Steelers0087 | Fantasy Baseball Xtreme Moderator

12:06 am
February 16, 2009


smitty

Admin

posts 172

Zach said:

Post edited 7:29 pm – February 15, 2009 by Zach


jakedogg187 said:

Yea, someone has to show me how to turn Doritos into Santana. That's magic right there!  Can Smitty really do that? :)


Yes, he can take any bag of chips and turn it into first round talent :-P

Seriously, though, Smitty does do a lot of 2-for-1 type trades and 3-for-1s, then he finds sleepers to replace some of those spots he lost and then he ends up with a big-time stud and guys that were almost as good as the ones he gave away. His line-ups are like line-ups on roids.

I haven't seen him do it in baseball though and to my knowledge he is mainly a football guru. As for baseball, my money is on JunkyardJake and Steelers0087 :) Smitty, dont read this! :)


Hey, I agree with ya. The real knowledge we brought in from our fantasy baseball college :)

Smitty | President | FantasyBaseballXtreme.com



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