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OnlineI only ask, because in that Lindy's magazine, they have him ranked as the #1 overall player on their top 10 list for the season. He's followed by:
2) Matt Kemp
3) Albert Pujols
4) Jose Bautista
5) Jacoby Ellsbury
6) Adrian Gonzalez
7) Robinson Cano
8) Miguel Cabrera
9) Evan Longoria
10) Roy Halladay
Anyways, back to Tulo…I get the strategy, it's all about position scarcity. So you get the #1 overall shortstop, who will get you the most Home Runs and RBI at the position, plus over 80 runs scored and an over .300 BA.
But is that enough to pass on Albert, Bautista, Kemp, Gonzo, and Cabrera? You have Jose Reyes and Hanley Ramirez probably available in the 2nd round. Rising stars like Starlin Castro, Asdrubal Cabrera, and Elvis Andrus a few rounds after that. Some I can see waiting on Jimmy Rollins for a later round.
It's an interesting idea…..oh, and by the way, Tulo is hitting his prime (and THE prime years for baseball players) as he enters his age 27 season.
Offline
OfflineThe position matters a lot to me. My 1-2-3 this year is Tulo, Longoria, Kemp. I like the idea of having Tulo at SS and a great sleeper at first base which is really deep this year.
consider this, would you rather have
Tulo and Hosmer/Dunn/Morales (1B)
or
a Ryan Theriot type and Pujols
I just think lack of depth at SS is big part of Tulos value
other decent first base sleepers – http://bit.ly/zq1iNe
OfflineI am also a believer in position scarcity, and I have a formula for standard fantasy baseball as well as scoresheet leagues (which is a way to more or less rate guys on a "real life" scale). I get where you're coming from. Although I followed your link and am not sure I'd call some of those guys "sleepers" but maybe guys you can get a little later in the draft…I don't think anyone is necessarily overlooking guys like Hosmer, Ike, etc. though.
That said, if you take Pujols in round 1, it doesn't necessarily mean you're going to end up with Ryan Theriot at SS.
OfflineQuick follow up -
I get the point you're making Swish (and glad to have you aboard for a little discussion) but if you have the first round pick in say a 10 team league….what's to say you can't steal a guy like Hanley at the end of round 2 (he might slip that far, and still qualifies at SS) or wait a little longer and grab Starlin Castro in round 3 or 4.
So…in a 10 team league, someone with the #1 pick could conceivably go something like:
1.1 – Kemp – OF
2.10 – Hanley – SS/3B
3.1 – Jered Weaver – SP
4.10 – Hosmer – 1B
5.1 – Brian McCann – C
Or possibly something along those lines….that's not too shabby assuming Hanley bounces back. Or you could with that 5.1 take a 3B or 2B option…or do something like:
1.1 Kemp OF
2.10 Hanley SS/3B
3.1 Kinsler 2B
4.10 Hosmer 1B
5.1 go with a pitcher or 3B option here…maybe a Cole Hamels or Pablo Sandoval/Brett Lawrie would be available. That would cover your entire infield (outside of catcher) and give you the best outfielder (arguable – but with Braun missing 50 games, he's clearly #1 for at least this year).
OfflineI was definitely speaking in extremes giving the example of a Theriot type.
I basically feel that there is a ton of great depth at first base this year and the outfield is always packed during the draft and throughout the season.
I would feel great if my first few rounds looked like this.
1.1 Tulo SS
2.10 Hanley SS/3B
3.1 Kinsler 2B
4.10 Starting Pitcher
5.1 First Base or Outfield
I just feel like every season I don't have a solid SS, 3B, and 2B, I am panicing the whole season and rotating low tier players that go on a hot streak.
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OfflineWhile we are on the topic of Tulo, shortstops, and position scarcity….thought I'd share:
OnlineHey Gus, everyone is SURE of Cabrera being the #1 third baseman. But I'm not so sure. The move to third could upset the big guy. Plus, there is a fellow named Juan Bautista that has put up pretty good numbers the past 2 years. I know Bautista still qualifies at 3B in yahoo leagues. If that is universal, there could end up being an argument here.
Kind of fun that the #1 pick isn't a slam dunk anymore, like it has been the past few with Albert Pujols.
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